The Truth About Showdown

SDS

Perfect/Perfect: .860 BA, 2.093 SLG
Good/Squared Up: .747 BA, 1.791 SLG
Good/Good: .632 BA, 1.371 SLG

These are the result from the '20 beta.
Success rates seem low on good swings, and especially low on good swings in showdown.
I went into six showdowns and recorded results to see how accurate these numbers still are.
Granted, six is a fairly small sample size, I may do more, but here are the results from those six showdowns:

Good/Okay: .205 BA, .359 SLG
Good/Good: .409 BA, .591 SLG
Good/Squared Up: .769 BA, 2.000 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Grounder: .800 BA, .900 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Liner: .789 BA, 1.789 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Flyball: .700 BA, 2.800 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Total: .769 BA, 1.821 SLG

SDS

@IIJACKINTHBOXII said in The Truth About Showdown:

Perfect/Perfect: .860 BA, 2.093 SLG
Good/Squared Up: .747 BA, 1.791 SLG
Good/Good: .632 BA, 1.371 SLG

These are the result from the '20 beta.
Success rates seem low on good swings, and especially low on good swings in showdown.
I went into six showdowns and recorded results to see how accurate these numbers still are.
Granted, six is a fairly small sample size, I may do more, but here are the results from those six showdowns:

Good/Okay: .205 BA, .359 SLG
Good/Good: .409 BA, .591 SLG
Good/Squared Up: .769 BA, 2.000 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Grounder: .800 BA, .900 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Liner: .789 BA, 1.789 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Flyball: .700 BA, 2.800 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Total: .769 BA, 1.821 SLG

Nice work!

It would probably be helpful to put how many of each type you got as well, for an idea of the sample size of each result.

SDS

The stark drop offs between squared up, good, and okay are interesting. It's almost like the game doesn't discern between squared up and perfect, except in the swing feedback.

SDS

I'm definitely not having that kind of luck on the dreaded good/goods. But yeah, when you square it up or get a perfect (especially with good stats) the ball seems to fly, for the most part.

SDS

I’m not getting near those results lol. Besides, half my swings that should be perfect/perfect are taken away and turned into “okay” contact. That’s the biggest cheat of all.

SDS

@abbyspapa said in The Truth About Showdown:

@IIJACKINTHBOXII said in The Truth About Showdown:

Perfect/Perfect: .860 BA, 2.093 SLG
Good/Squared Up: .747 BA, 1.791 SLG
Good/Good: .632 BA, 1.371 SLG

These are the result from the '20 beta.
Success rates seem low on good swings, and especially low on good swings in showdown.
I went into six showdowns and recorded results to see how accurate these numbers still are.
Granted, six is a fairly small sample size, I may do more, but here are the results from those six showdowns:

Good/Okay: .205 BA, .359 SLG
Good/Good: .409 BA, .591 SLG
Good/Squared Up: .769 BA, 2.000 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Grounder: .800 BA, .900 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Liner: .789 BA, 1.789 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Flyball: .700 BA, 2.800 SLG
Perfect/Perfect Total: .769 BA, 1.821 SLG

Nice work!

It would probably be helpful to put how many of each type you got as well, for an idea of the sample size of each result.

I got 39 Good/Okay, 22 Good/Good, 26 Good/Squared, 10 Perfect/Grounder, 19 Perfect/Liner, 10 Perfect/Flyball.

SDS

39 perfect to 39 good okays. You way better than me.

SDS

^^ in case you missed it @eatyum

SDS

you're excluding one of the greatest determining factors for hit results... the pitchers confidence as well as the individual confidence of pitch. A good okay vs. a pitcher w/ low confidence is much more likely to produce a hit as opposed to a pitcher with greater confidence. Not only that, but unfortunately the count of each at bat prior to ball in play would have to be known as well. Oh.. and of course what pitcher your facing and what their (h/9, clutch) is in all these situations

SDS

@Papa_Valsalva said in The Truth About Showdown:

you're excluding one of the greatest determining factors for hit results... the pitchers confidence as well as the individual confidence of pitch. A good okay vs. a pitcher w/ low confidence is much more likely to produce a hit as opposed to a pitcher with greater confidence. Not only that, but unfortunately the count of each at bat prior to ball in play would have to be known as well. Oh.. and of course what pitcher your facing and what their (h/9, clutch) is in all these situations

Come to think of it, I also forgot to mention the elevation, humidity, and what each of my players had to eat for breakfast!

SDS

Interesting, I wonder why you got a higher BA on perfect grounders and liners. I would have assumed it would be flyballs. I wonder if it's because of the 80 power thing? Because early on, there usually isn't a ton of guys with that power.

SDS

@eatyum said in The Truth About Showdown:

Interesting, I wonder why you got a higher BA on perfect grounders and liners. I would have assumed it would be flyballs. I wonder if it's because of the 80 power thing? Because early on, there usually isn't a ton of guys with that power.

More specifically I went 7/10 with 7hrs and 3 fly-outs on perfect fly balls. The three who flew out were: Stanton, Eloy, and Kyle Tucker. 2 of those guys have 80+ power so who knows. Another thing is that each of those fly-outs were either the first or second time through the order. My guess is that they flew out because the pitcher’s confidence hadn’t been worn down enough at that point. They also all flew out to center field, gotta be a homer if it’s pulled. I’ll bet if I get a larger sample size the BA will go up and the SLG% will go down.

SDS
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